My track record for predicting what is going to happen next in the GOP primary contest is hardly spotless, but then this thing has been so weird for so long that no one’s predictions have proved to be reliably accurate. Nevertheless, I’m going to give it another shot.
I think Newt Gingrich will be the nominee.
This isn’t a particularly well-reasoned decision, more just a gut reaction to circumstances as they look now. But then again, I predicted Obama would be the nominee way back in the early days of 2007 pretty much on the same irrational basis.
Here is how I see things shaping up for Newt:
